here is a little prediction for the upcoming Asia cup final on sunday between India and Srilanka. The most important thing of the day will not be srilankan spinners or indian batsmen. Asia cup’s fortune now depends heavily on a coin – the coin of toss. So, from now on both captains should practice hard for the toss. After winning the toss, there will be no hesitation for the captains – they will have to bowl first.
On such placid tracks, it will be very difficult to post a winning total, just because noone is sure what is defentable anymore. So ideal option is to win the toss and restrict the opposition to about 315-320, and then bat carefully keeping wickets in hand. There is no doubt they will win the cup.
Toss is sheer luck. So if Dhoni’s luck run out on sunday and Jayawardene ask India to bat first, India should set a target above 330, ideally 350. Include Yousuf Pathan as it proved extra bowler in these kind of pitches are useless. While batting first, it will be very important for the batsmen to time their inning to perfection and pray for the pitch to turn in the second inning.
What is the message of this tournament ? cricket is crying out there to restore its balance – between bat and ball. An ideal punishment for the man behind such lifeless cricket should be prosecuted.
In theory both team have equal chances of winning the cup, but taking a pragmatic line, i think its 55:45 biased in favor of Srilanka.
